# Tom Britton: The risk for a new COVID-19 wave - and how it depends on R_0, the current immunity level and current restrictions

Time: Wed 2020-11-11 15.15

Lecturer: Tom Britton, Stockholm University

Location:

### Abstract

We analyse a simple mathematical model for the spread of covid-19 which allows for heterogeneities with respect to age, social activity, susceptibility and infectivity. In the talk we investigate the minimal effect of preventive measures needed to avoid a new epidemic wave of Covid-19. In particular we investigate how it depends on the initial basic reproduction number $$R_0$$ and the current immunity level $$\hat i$$. Joint work with Frank Ball and Pieter Trapman.

Place: Zoom. Please register by sending an email to Dmitry Otryakhin at otryakhin@math.su.se

Page responsible:webmaster@math.kth.se
Belongs to: Department of Mathematics
Last changed: Nov 03, 2020