AG2171 Futures Studies and Forecasts 7.5 credits

Futures Studies and Forecasts

Methods in, and the use of, futures studies and forecasts in planning.

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Course information

Content and learning outcomes

Course contents *

The course Futures studies and Forecasts spans a wide array of issues, all of them relevant for planners’ comprehension of the future. In the course, focus is on the understanding of some basic concepts in futures studies, such as scenarios, uncertainty and risk, and on how to deal with those.

The course will touch upon issues of quite different character – such as population forecasting, regional plans and other long-term issues.

The course works as a magnet for various such developments and places them in a common setting in order to help the student find methods to keep a long-term perspective on planning.

Intended learning outcomes *

In this course, the students are trained to become users of futures studies in planning. They will not become experts in performing specific scenario studies, but they will get a broad knowledge on which methods are at hand. Thus, after the course, the students should have acquired a basic understanding of some fundamental methods of long-term planning.

More specifically the aims of the course are that the students should

  • be able to explain the differences between various scenario approaches
  • be able to use their knowledge regarding various types of scenario methods to critically analyse the use of scenario methods in various existing studies
  • be able to point out risks and benefits with the methods presented in the course
  • be able to choose a suitable scenario method for a specific problem
  • have acquired a basic knowledge regarding existing techniques for scenario generation and be able to explain benefits and weaknesses with those techniques.
  • be able to use their new skills both in writing and orally.

Course Disposition

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Literature and preparations

Specific prerequisites *

A Bachelor’s degree in architecture or landscape architecture, civil engineering in the built environment or equivalent, urban and regional planning or social sciences including courses corresponding to a minimum of 30 ECTS credits in the field of urban, transport or regional planning and economics, geoinformatics or environmental sciences. In addition ** documented proficiency in English B or equivalent (TOEFL, IELTS e g).

Recommended prerequisites

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Equipment

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Literature

The readings required for the course is a collection of articles, reports and excerpts from books. It consists of both texts on methods and of reports from projects relevant for the course contents. The required readings are collected in a special course binder, sold at the beginning of the course.

Examination and completion

Grading scale *

A, B, C, D, E, FX, F

Examination *

  • LAB1 - Laboratory Work, 3.0 credits, Grading scale: A, B, C, D, E, FX, F
  • LIT1 - Literature Assignments, 4.5 credits, Grading scale: A, B, C, D, E, FX, F

Based on recommendation from KTH’s coordinator for disabilities, the examiner will decide how to adapt an examination for students with documented disability.

The examiner may apply another examination format when re-examining individual students.

Other requirements for final grade *

It is required to complete exercises involving different combinations of qualitative and quantitative analysis (LAB1; 3 cr) and to fulfil a literature assignment (LIT1; 4,5 cr). Both those excercises must be performed within a specified time period

Opportunity to complete the requirements via supplementary examination

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Opportunity to raise an approved grade via renewed examination

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Examiner

Mattias Höjer

Further information

Course web

Further information about the course can be found on the Course web at the link below. Information on the Course web will later be moved to this site.

Course web AG2171

Offered by

ABE/Sustainability and Environmental Engineering

Main field of study *

Built Environment

Education cycle *

Second cycle

Add-on studies

AG2110/AG2112 Project Urban Planning or Projekt stadsplanering (SP(S4))
AG2117 Project Regional Planning (TSPPM1)

Contact

Mattias Höjer, mattias.hojer@abe.kth.se

Ethical approach *

  • All members of a group are responsible for the group's work.
  • In any assessment, every student shall honestly disclose any help received and sources used.
  • In an oral assessment, every student shall be able to present and answer questions about the entire assignment and solution.